Match Info

Date: 27 September 2021, Monday


	Proleter Novi Sad		Napredak Kruševac

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.55
	2.55	3.1	2.38
	2.55	2.9	2.6
	2.33	3.26	3.05
	2.37	2.9	2.87
	2.45	3.22	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.22)	3.06 ↓ (3.34)	2.69 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Proleter Novi Sad
36.8%

Draw
29.6%

Napredak Kruševac
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

18.8%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Proleter Novi Sad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Napredak Kruševac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Proleter Novi Sad than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Proleter Novi Sad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napredak Kruševac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56%	20%	24%

Proleter Novi Sad - Napredak Kruševac Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Proleter will win (votes: 14 - 56%). Napredak will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Proleter: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Super Liga (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Napredak have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Proleter won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Proleter won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Proleter Novi Sad
Serbian Superliga
22.09.21	Spartak Subotica - Proleter Novi Sad	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Proleter Novi Sad - Mladost Lučani	2:3 ✺
11.09.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Proleter Novi Sad	3:0 ✺
30.08.21	Proleter Novi Sad - Radnički 1923	1:1 ✺
23.08.21	Radnički Niš - Proleter Novi Sad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLTW
- Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga
22.09.21	Napredak Kruševac - Čukarički	1:2 ✺
16.09.21	Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac	1:2 ✺
10.09.21	Napredak Kruševac - Radnik Surdulica	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.21	Napredak Kruševac - Mladost Lučani	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
29.08.21	Napredak Kruševac - Vojvodina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
24.04.21	Napredak Kruševac - Proleter Novi Sad	5:0
07.11.20	Proleter Novi Sad - Napredak Kruševac	1:0
07.03.20	Napredak Kruševac - Proleter Novi Sad	0:0
29.09.19	Proleter Novi Sad - Napredak Kruševac	2:0
25.04.19	Napredak Kruševac - Proleter Novi Sad	2:0
05.12.18	Napredak Kruševac - Proleter Novi Sad	1:1
11.08.18	Proleter Novi Sad - Napredak Kruševac	1:1

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