Match Info

Date: 4 July 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Próspera Criciúma		Grêmio Juventus

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.9	2.1
	3.5	2.95	2.05
	3.25	2.9	2.08
	3.02	3.16	1.96
	3.5	2.7	2.1
	3.46	2.92	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.01)	2.92 ↑ (2.63)	2.08 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Próspera Criciúma
26.6%

Draw
30.5%

Grêmio Juventus
42.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

34.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

36.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Próspera Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Grêmio Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Juventus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Próspera Criciúma than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Juventus than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Juventus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	40%	33.3%

Próspera Criciúma - Grêmio Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Próspera will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Grêmio Juventus will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.

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Preview

Próspera has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Grêmio Juventus is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Próspera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Próspera won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Próspera won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Próspera Criciúma
Brazilian Serie D
26.06.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Próspera Criciúma	2:0 ✺
20.06.22	Próspera Criciúma - Azuriz	1:3 ✺
12.06.22	Próspera Criciúma - São Luiz	2:2 ✺
04.06.22	Caxias - Próspera Criciúma	1:0 ✺
29.05.22	Próspera Criciúma - Caxias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL
- Grêmio Juventus
Brazilian Serie D
26.06.22	Azuriz - Grêmio Juventus	0:2 ✺
18.06.22	Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
12.06.22	FC Cascavel - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
04.06.22	Grêmio Juventus - Aimoré	0:0 ✺
28.05.22	Aimoré - Grêmio Juventus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
01.05.22	Grêmio Juventus - Próspera Criciúma	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
10.02.22	Próspera Criciúma - Grêmio Juventus	1:2
03.04.21	Próspera Criciúma - Grêmio Juventus	0:0

Próspera Criciúma - Grêmio Juventus