Match Info

Date: 18 June 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Grêmio Juventus		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.7	2.25
	3.3	2.75	2.25
	3.2	2.7	2.25
	3.2	2.65	2.38
	3.1	2.6	2.35
	3.13	2.89	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.99)	2.72 ↑ (2.57)	2.31 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Juventus
28.1%

Draw
33.1%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.7%

34.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

35.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Juventus than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Náutico Marcílio Dias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grêmio Juventus won 1.

Grêmio Juventus is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Marcílio Dias is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Grêmio Juventus won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Grêmio Juventus won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Juventus
Brazilian Serie D
12.06.22	FC Cascavel - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
04.06.22	Grêmio Juventus - Aimoré	0:0 ✺
28.05.22	Aimoré - Grêmio Juventus	2:0 ✺
21.05.22	Grêmio Juventus - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
14.05.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLTL
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
12.06.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Caxias	2:1 ✺
05.06.22	São Luiz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
28.05.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - São Luiz	1:1 ✺
21.05.22	Caxias - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:1 ✺
14.05.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
14.05.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Juventus	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
27.01.22	Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:2
Brazilian Serie D
07.08.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Juventus	1:1
04.07.21	Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.04.21	Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1
25.04.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Grêmio Juventus	1:0
10.04.21	Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1

Grêmio Juventus - Náutico Marcílio Dias

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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