Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Puebla U21		Necaxa U21

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.93	3.23	3.5
	1.93	3.34	3.73
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	2	3.22	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.23)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)	3.62 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla U21
46.4%

Draw
28.6%

Necaxa U21
25%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.7%

30.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Necaxa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla U21 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa U21 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Puebla U21 - Necaxa U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, ⚽,
45', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16).

Puebla U21 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Necaxa U21 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Necaxa U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Puebla U21 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puebla U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
10	Puebla U21	11	3	2	4	2	12:11	17
11	Necaxa U21	12	4	2	1	5	13:17	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
07.03.26	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	0:0 ✺
04.03.26	Puebla U21 - Tigres UANL U21	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Atlético San Luis U21 - Puebla U21	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Puebla U21 - Club América U21	1:2 penalties ✺
13.02.26	Puebla U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL
- Necaxa U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
28.02.26	Club León U21 - Necaxa U21	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Necaxa U21 - Toluca U21	3:2 penalties ✺
13.02.26	Juárez U21 - Necaxa U21	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Necaxa U21 - Atlético San Luis U21	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Club América U21 - Necaxa U21	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
19.09.25	Necaxa U21 - Puebla U21	0:1

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