Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Necaxa U21		Toluca U21

	1	X	2
	3.34	3.39	2.03
	3.41	3.3	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.38)	3.35 ↑ (3.35)	2.05 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Necaxa U21
27.3%

Draw
27.6%

Toluca U21
45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

27%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Necaxa U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Toluca U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa U21 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca U21 than the current prediction. (+1%)

Necaxa U21 - Toluca U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Penalties (7 - 6)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Necaxa U21 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Toluca U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Toluca U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Toluca U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Necaxa U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Including home match between the teams, Necaxa U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Toluca U21	12	9	3	0	0	26:9	33
11	Necaxa U21	12	4	2	1	5	13:17	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Necaxa U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
13.02.26	Juárez U21 - Necaxa U21	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Necaxa U21 - Atlético San Luis U21	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Club América U21 - Necaxa U21	2:1 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Necaxa U21 - Atlas U21	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Necaxa U21 - Monterrey U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
13.02.26	Toluca U21 - Tijuana U21	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Toluca U21 - Cruz Azul U21	3:2 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Puebla U21 - Toluca U21	1:2 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Tigres UANL U21 - Toluca U21	3:2 penalties ✺
14.01.26	Toluca U21 - Santos Laguna U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
21.10.26	Toluca U21 - Tijuana U21	✺

Necaxa U21 - Toluca U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide