The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puente Genil 31%
Draw 31.8%
Recreativo Huelva 37.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.1%
29.4%
45.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
28.5%
46.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Puente Genil's performance.
Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Recreativo Huelva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Puente Genil that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recreativo Huelva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Puente Genil - Recreativo Huelva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Recent form of Puente Genil has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Recreativo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recreativo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Puente Genil won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Puente Genil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Recreativo Huelva
5
4
0
1
10:4
6
12
15
Puente Genil
5
1
1
3
5:5
0
4
Last Results with these Odds
Recreativo Huelva - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.45%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.