Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 3

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Puente Genil		Estepona

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.95	2.40
	2.8	2.95	2.35
	2.96	2.99	2.54
	2.9	2.97	2.47	Watch
	2.9	2.85	2.5
	3.05	3.05	2.42
	2.8	2.95	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.43)	2.96 ↑ (2.87)	2.43 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puente Genil
31.7%

Draw
30.8%

Estepona
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puente Genil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puente Genil's form might have worsened.

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estepona's recent form is better than expected.

Puente Genil - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Aguilar Rosello P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Puente Genil has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Puente Genil against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CD Estepona	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
15	Puente Genil	5	1	1	3	5:5	0	4

Last Results with these Odds

Puente Genil - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.84%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Estepona - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 32.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puente Genil FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
13.09.26	Recreativo Huelva - Puente Genil	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.08.26	Pozoblanco - Puente Genil	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.05.26	La Unión - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Puente Genil - Malaga B	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Real Jaén - Puente Genil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
12.09.26	Estepona - Linares Deportivo	1:4 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.05.26	Real Madrid C - Estepona	2:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.05.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Estepona	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Estepona - Águilas	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Linares Deportivo - Estepona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
01.03.26	Puente Genil - Estepona	1:0
14.12.25	Estepona - Puente Genil	1:2

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