Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Pulpileño		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.88	2.88
	2.13	2.92	3.67
	2.23	2.89	3.48	Watch
	2.38	2.86	3.05
	2.8	3.05	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (3.06)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	3.1 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pulpileño
38.6%

Draw
31.6%

Real Murcia B
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.3%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pulpileño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pulpileño's performance.

Real Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pulpileño than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pulpileño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pulpileño - Real Murcia B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, Pastor J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pulpileño won 1.

Pulpileño has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Murcia B is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Murcia B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Murcia B might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Pulpileño won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Pulpileño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Pulpileño
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.09.25	Pulpileño - Minerva	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Muleño - Pulpileño	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Águilas B - Pulpileño	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Pulpileño - UCAM Murcia B	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.25	Pulpileño - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLTTT
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
05.10.25	Real Murcia B - Águilas B	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia B - Real Murcia B	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Real Murcia B - Mazarrón	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	El Palmar - Real Murcia B	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Real Murcia B - Deportivo Marítimo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.02.25	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	0:1
13.10.24	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	1:1
18.02.24	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	1:1
01.10.23	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	1:1
26.02.23	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	0:1
30.10.22	Pulpileño - Real Murcia B	1:1
17.02.21	Real Murcia B - Pulpileño	2:3

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