Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 20

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Puteolana		Molfetta

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.37
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.69	3.02	2.45
	2.7	2.9	2.4
	2.69	3.16	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.92)	3.02 ↓ (3.11)	2.42 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puteolana
33.3%

Draw
29.7%

Molfetta
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

28.7%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puteolana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Molfetta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puteolana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molfetta than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Molfetta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Puteolana - Molfetta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out)).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Puteolana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Molfetta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Puteolana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Puteolana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Puteolana 1902
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.01.23	Città di Fasano - Puteolana	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
11.01.23	Puteolana - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
08.01.23	Puteolana - Nardo	1:2 ✺
21.12.22	Matera - Puteolana	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Puteolana - Lavello	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLT
- Molfetta Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
15.01.23	Molfetta - Barletta	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Matera - Molfetta	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	Afragolese - Molfetta	1:1 ✺
18.12.22	Molfetta - Altamura	1:3 ✺
11.12.22	Nocerina - Molfetta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
02.11.22	Puteolana - Molfetta	1:0 penalties
Italian Serie D - Group H
18.09.22	Molfetta - Puteolana	2:2
11.04.21	Puteolana - Molfetta	0:3
20.12.20	Molfetta - Puteolana	1:0

Puteolana - Molfetta

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Puteolana - Molfetta Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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