Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 19 December 2022, Monday

Location: 30 June Stadium (Cairo)


	Pyramids		Aswan

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.8	9.25
	1.29	4.5	9.5
	1.28	4.5	11
	1.28	5.29	12.21
	1.27	4.5	11
	1.26	5.1	11	Watch
	1.3	4.9	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.59)	4.8 ↑ (3.24)	10.71 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pyramids
72.2%

Draw
19.2%

Aswan
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

28%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

26.3%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pyramids has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pyramids's performance.

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aswan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pyramids than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pyramids that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aswan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	4.5%	18.2%

Pyramids - Aswan Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Pyramids will win (votes: 34 - 77.3%). Aswan will win (votes: 8 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pyramids: 64.9% – 89.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 15).

Pyramids is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aswan is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aswan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Pyramids have a series of guest games.

In this match Pyramids is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Pyramids to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Pyramids won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pyramids won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pyramids FC
Egyptian Premier League
16.12.22	Ismaily - Pyramids	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Zamalek - Pyramids	1:0 ✺
07.12.22	Pyramids - El Mokawloon El Arab	2:0 ✺
30.11.22	Haras El-Hodood - Pyramids	0:1 ✺
Egyptian Cup
27.11.22	National Bank of Egypt - Pyramids	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW
- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
15.12.22	Aswan - Ceramica Cleopatra	2:3 ✺
08.12.22	Smouha - Aswan	1:2 ✺
01.12.22	Aswan - Pharco	1:0 ✺
23.11.22	Modern Sport - Aswan	2:1 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
19.11.22	Aswan - Ghazl El Mahalla	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
19.08.21	Pyramids - Aswan	2:0
06.03.21	Aswan - Pyramids	0:2
29.08.20	Aswan - Pyramids	1:2
27.11.19	Pyramids - Aswan	2:2

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