Match Info

EGYPT: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)


	Aswan		Ceramica Cleopatra

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.85	2.35
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.28	2.93	2.51
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	3.15	3.15	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (1.91)	2.96 ↓ (3.18)	2.37 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
29.7%

Draw
31.2%

Ceramica Cleopatra
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

29.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aswan's form might have worsened.

Ceramica Cleopatra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ceramica Cleopatra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (+20.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aswan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceramica Cleopatra than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ceramica Cleopatra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Aswan - Ceramica Cleopatra Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aswan will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Ceramica Cleopatra will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ceramica Cleopatra: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).

Recent matches Aswan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ceramica Cleopatra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceramica Cleopatra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ceramica Cleopatra will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aswan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Aswan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Premier League
04.04.23	Aswan - Smouha	1:1 ✺
31.03.23	Pharco - Aswan	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Aswan - Modern Sport	1:2 ✺
27.02.23	Ghazl El Mahalla - Aswan	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Aswan - Al Ahly Cairo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLWL
- Ceramica Cleopatra FC
Egyptian Premier League
03.04.23	Ismaily - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1 ✺
30.03.23	Ceramica Cleopatra - El Mokawloon El Arab	0:0 ✺
Egyptian League Cup
21.03.23	Ceramica Cleopatra - Smouha	2:1 penalties ✺
Egyptian Premier League
05.03.23	Haras El-Hodood - Ceramica Cleopatra	0:0 ✺
28.02.23	Ceramica Cleopatra - National Bank of Egypt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Premier League
15.12.22	Aswan - Ceramica Cleopatra	2:3
02.07.21	Ceramica Cleopatra - Aswan	1:1
02.02.21	Aswan - Ceramica Cleopatra	1:1

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