Match Info

Date: 6 October 2022, Thursday

Location: Republican Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Pyunik		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	2.62	3	2.9
	2.55	3	2.85
	2.55	3.1	3
	2.55	3	2.9
	2.69	3.08	2.97
	2.55	3.08	2.84
	2.6	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.46)	3.05 ↓ (3.13)	2.92 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pyunik
36.6%

Draw
31%

Žalgiris
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.8%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.6%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pyunik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pyunik than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.2%	29.4%	32.4%

Pyunik - Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Pyunik will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 11 - 32.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pyunik: 21.9% – 54.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Pyunik has currently - 3, has a very small chance of 1st (4%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a chance of 3rd (31%), has a small chance of round of 16 (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Žalgiris has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (5%), has a chance of 2nd (31%), has a chance of 3rd (30%), has a small chance of round of 16 (11%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 26, very big importance 93, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Pyunik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Žalgiris is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pyunik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Žalgiris have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Pyunik: Gajic Z. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pyunik won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Pyunik won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pyunik Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
01.10.22	Pyunik - Alashkert	5:1 ✺
19.09.22	Urartu Yerevan - Pyunik	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Pyunik - Slovan Bratislava	2:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
12.09.22	Pyunik - BKMA Yerevan	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.09.22	Basel - Pyunik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWL
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian Cup
01.10.22	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	2:1 ET ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
27.09.22	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Žalgiris - Riteriai	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.09.22	Žalgiris - Basel	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
11.09.22	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.07.13	Pyunik - Žalgiris	1:1
18.07.13	Žalgiris - Pyunik	2:0

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