Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 34

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Lithuania	18:45	LNK


	Kauno Žalgiris		Žalgiris

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.30	3.20
	1.85	3.30	3.40
	2.09	3.50	3.75
	1.81	3.8	3.96	Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.70
	2.03	3.64	3.33	Watch
	2.02	3.40	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 (1.97)	3.44 ↓ (3.66)	3.52 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris
46.9%

Draw
26.8%

Žalgiris
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

25.4%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Žalgiris will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Kauno Žalgiris (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 45. Moutachy J. 77. Lekiatas R. 23. Hernandez A. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 8. Karashima Y. 9. Krekovic L. 20. Kalik A. 14. Slivka V. 7. Benchaib A. 27. Debeljuh G.	12. Sarkauskas V. (G) 13. Upstas K. 4. Koy Lupano D. 15. Bosancic P. 18. Sesplaukis D. 22. Verbickas O. (C) 77. Kendysh Y. 27. Vareika M. 10. Golubickas P. 70. Teixeira B. 19. Bilenkyi S.
Substitutes
1. Aliukonis J. (G) 24. Burba M. 11. Cernych F. 17. Fiolic I. 62. Kastrati L. II. 15. Leo Ribeiro 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 70. Ourega F. 4. Racic L. 19. Renan Oliveira 10. Sirgedas G. 3. Tolordava A.	8. Antal L. 29. Bicka K. 95. Cekavicius D. (G) 3. Fogning S. 9. Jarusevicius G. 44. Matyzonok P. 7. Mihajlovic N. 11. Petkovic N. 14. Setkus M. 5. Turda G. 16. Usavicius J. 26. Zahary Y.
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Vareika M. 🟨,
60', Krekovic L. ↓, Leo Ribeiro ↑,
66', Upstas K. ↓, Setkus M. ↑,
66', Vareika M. ↓, Mihajlovic N. ↑,
68', Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 🟨,
70', Benchaib A. ↓, Sirgedas G. ↑,
70', Debeljuh G. ↓, Renan Oliveira ↑,
73', Verbickas O. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
75', Bilenkyi S. 🟨,
88', Kalik A. ↓, Burba M. ↑,
90+1', Hernandez A. 🟨,
90+7', Burba M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Kauno Žalgiris may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kauno Žalgiris has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Žalgiris has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Kauno Žalgiris is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kauno Žalgiris has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:30 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kauno Žalgiris against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 11:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kauno Zalgiris	30	15	10	5	57:20	37	55
2	Zalgiris	31	15	6	10	49:35	14	51

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.18%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Kauno Žalgiris
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Brann	1:4 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
19.10.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Kauno Žalgiris	4:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
11.10.26	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.09.26	FA Šiauliai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW
- Žalgiris Vilnius
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
18.10.26	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	4:1 ✺
10.10.26	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Žalgiris - Panevėžys	0:2 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
19.09.26	Transinvest - Žalgiris	3:0 ✺
16.09.26	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
16.09.26	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	3:2
31.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	0:1
05.04.26	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3
22.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	1:2
04.08.25	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2
Lithuanian Cup
20.05.25	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	2:4 ET
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
17.05.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	3:0

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