Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday


	Pärnu Linnameeskond		Levadia Tallinn U21

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.8	1.33
	8.5	5.75	1.26
	6.6	5	1.32
	7.39	5.03	1.37
	7.5	4.33	1.3
	6.25	4.44	1.4
	7.5	5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.21 ↑ (6.25)	4.91 ↑ (4.24)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Linnameeskond
12.6%

Draw
18.6%

Levadia Tallinn U21
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

21.3%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

20.8%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Pärnu Linnameeskond - Levadia Tallinn U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pärnu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Levadia U21 will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levadia U21: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 1.

Pärnu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Levadia U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Levadia U21 is certain favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu Linnameeskond
Estonian Esiliiga
17.09.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Alliance	6:0 ✺
10.09.22	Flora U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	6:0 ✺
04.09.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Paide U21	1:3 ✺
01.09.22	Viimsi JK - Pärnu Linnameeskond	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLLL
- Levadia Tallinn U21
Estonian Esiliiga
17.09.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	3:2 ✺
10.09.22	Viimsi JK - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:0 ✺
05.09.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Flora U21	0:3 ✺
01.09.22	Harju JK Laagri - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
27.08.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	7:1
01.05.22	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	2:0
09.04.22	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:1
20.11.21	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:0
17.10.21	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	3:2
14.07.21	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Pärnu Linnameeskond	1:2
27.05.21	Pärnu Linnameeskond - Levadia Tallinn U21	2:2

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