The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pärnu Linnameeskond 12.9%
Draw 17.3%
Paide U21 69.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
20.9%
59.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
20.4%
60.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Linnameeskond has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Linnameeskond's form might have worsened.
Paide U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paide U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Linnameeskond than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu Linnameeskond, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paide U21 than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paide U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Pärnu Linnameeskond - Paide U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Pärnu will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Paide U21 will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pärnu: 9.6% – 70.4%.
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Preview
Pärnu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Paide U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Paide U21 is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pärnu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Pärnu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-10.