Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday


	Pérolas Negras		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.87
	3.95	2.95	1.86
	4.5	2.77	1.89
	4	2.88	1.88
	4.65	2.91	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (5.29)	2.92 ↓ (3.07)	1.88 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pérolas Negras
21.3%

Draw
30.8%

São Bernardo
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

29.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

29.6%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pérolas Negras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Bernardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Bernardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Pérolas Negras - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pérolas Negras will win (votes: 2 - 40%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

Pérolas Negras is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

São Bernardo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pérolas Negras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Bernardo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pérolas Negras
Brazilian Serie D
15.05.22	Pérolas Negras - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
07.05.22	Nova Iguaçu - Pérolas Negras	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Pérolas Negras - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
24.04.22	Cianorte - Pérolas Negras	2:2 ✺
17.04.22	Pérolas Negras - Santo André	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LTTTL
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.05.22	São Bernardo - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
07.05.22	São Bernardo - Osasco Sporting	3:0 ✺
30.04.22	Santo André - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Paraná Clube Curitiba - São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	São Bernardo - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWTT

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