Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 4

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)


	São Bernardo		Cianorte

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.05	3.04	3.89
	2.01	3.06	3.73	Watch
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.96	3.08	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.71)	3.05 ↓ (3.38)	3.74 ↓ (4.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
45.7%

Draw
29.9%

Cianorte
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

26.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Bernardo's form might have worsened.

Cianorte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Bernardo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cianorte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

São Bernardo - Cianorte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 37. Davi D. 27. Echapora 25. Gonzaga W. 21. Hugo Sanches 42. Hyoran 35. Jemerson (C) 31. Lucas Fernandes 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 19. Neto Costa	1. Igor (G) 3. Allan Passos 6. Cabeca D. 5. Caique 9. Carlito Thiago 28. Crysthyan 10. David Kaua 8. Ibson 4. Jakao 2. Paulo Roberto 7. Reifit
Substitutes
23. Arthur Bassi (G) 10. Fabricio Daniel 20. Felipe Rodrigues 8. Foguinho 3. Helder Maciel 39. Hwaskar 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 30. Junior Urso 4. Pablo 22. Pablo Dyego 6. Para 2. Rodrigo Ferreira	15. Cristovam 19. De Paula Santos R. 20. Felipe Laurindo 11. Hiago Monteiro 14. Iago Motta 27. Luciano 12. Luiz Fabiano (G) 13. Ramom Soares 17. Rizzardi N. 18. Robson Luiz 16. Sony

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Hyoran ↓, Junior Urso ↑,
47', Davi D. ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
62', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
70', Echapora ↓, Felipe Rodrigues ↑,
74', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
76', Reifit ↓, Luciano ↑,
76', Neto Costa ↓, Hwaskar ↑,
76', David Kaua ↓, Hiago Monteiro ↑,
77', Caique ↓, Felipe Laurindo ↑,
81', Carlito Thiago ↓, De Paula Santos R. ↑,
82', Paulo Roberto ↓, Cristovam ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Hiago Monteiro ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

São Bernardo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cianorte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

São Bernardo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, São Bernardo is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, São Bernardo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

São Bernardo - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.41%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	São Bernardo - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
09.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	São Bernardo - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	São Bernardo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLT
- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Santa Catarina - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
05.04.26	Cianorte - Guarany de Bagé	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
29.03.26	Avaí - Cianorte	2:2 ✺
24.03.26	Cianorte - Volta Redonda	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.06.22	Cianorte - São Bernardo	0:1
14.05.22	São Bernardo - Cianorte	1:0

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