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Current Win Probability
QFC 58%
Draw 24.3%
Santa Cruz de Natal 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
26.5%
18.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
25%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
QFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for QFC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
QFC - Santa Cruz de Natal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Paulinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟥,
90+1', 2 - 0, Wellington Reis ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Potiguar (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Potiguar (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
QFC has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Santa Cruz de Natal is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, QFC is seen as the favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, QFC won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).