The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz de Natal 16.7%
Draw 23.6%
QFC 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21%
24.8%
54.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
24.4%
55.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
QFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting QFC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for QFC than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Santa Cruz de Natal - QFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Diego Costa ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Potiguar (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Potiguar (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Santa Cruz de Natal is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
QFC has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, QFC is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz de Natal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
Watch
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