Match Info

Date: 19 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Azersun Arena (Baku)

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	CMore


	Qarabağ Agdam		Zürich

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.4
	1.95	3.2	3.75
	2	3.35	4
	2.04	3.1	3.6
	2.12	3.26	3.76
	2.05	3.3	3.7
	2.06	3.28	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.49)	3.25 ↑ (3.13)	3.68 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
45.9%

Draw
28.7%

Zürich
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

30.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qarabağ Agdam's performance.

Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zürich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qarabağ Agdam that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zürich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.5%	10.4%	15.1%

Qarabağ Agdam - Zürich Predictions

Users Predictions: 106 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 79 - 74.5%). Zürich will win (votes: 16 - 15.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 10.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 66.2% – 82.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Qarabağ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Qarabağ is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Qarabağ won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Champions League
12.07.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Lech Poznań	5:1 ✺
05.07.22	Lech Poznań - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.06.22	Universitatea Craiova - Qarabağ Agdam	1:1 ✺
29.06.22	Holstein Kiel - Qarabağ Agdam	2:2 ✺
25.06.22	Qarabağ Agdam - Botoșani	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTTW
- FC Zürich
Swiss Super League
16.07.22	Young Boys - Zürich	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Stuttgart - Zürich	3:2 ✺
22.06.22	Zürich - Viktoria Köln	3:1 ✺
18.06.22	Zürich - Wil 1900	3:2 ✺
15.06.22	Zürich - Baden	11:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.01.15	Qarabağ Agdam - Zürich	1:1

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