Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+, Sport 2
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254, Sky Sport Max
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	TDM TV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, Virgin Media More
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Qarabağ Agdam		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	2
	3.75	3.3	2.12
	3.91	3.5	2.1
	3.29	3.50	2.11	Watch
	3.74	3.42	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.92)	3.4 ↓ (3.48)	2.09 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
25.9%

Draw
28.2%

Copenhagen
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

27.5%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

28.8%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qarabağ Agdam's form might have worsened.

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Copenhagen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.4%	25%	34.6%

Qarabağ Agdam - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 19 - 38%). Copenhagen will win (votes: 18 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 26%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 24.5% – 51.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 11 - 34.4%). Copenhagen (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 9 - 28.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Qarabağ (3.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 2nd Half - Qarabağ (1.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Qarabağ (1.39) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Qarabağ (1.72) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH +1 - Qarabağ (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Copenhagen (3.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 44 Selected Experts predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 21 - 47.7%). Copenhagen (votes: 14 - 31.8%). Tie (votes: 9 - 20.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kochalski M. (G) 2. Matheus Silva 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 44. Cafarquliyev E. 20. Kady Borges 35. Pedro Bicalho 15. Leandro Andrade 21. Kashchuk O. 17. Duran C. 10. Zoubir A. (C)	1. Kotarski D. (G) 13. Huescas R. 5. Gabriel Pereira 6. Hatzidiakos P. 15. Lopez M. 11. Larsson J. 12. Lerager L. 27. Delaney T. (C) 16. Robert 9. Moukoko Y. 10. Elyounoussi M.
Substitutes
11. Addai E. 7. Akhundzade N. 27. Bayramov T. 97. Buntic F. (G) 32. Cabrayilzada H. 6. Chriso 18. Dani Bolt 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 3. Mmaee S. 22. Qurbanly M.	30. Achouri E. 61. Buur O. (G) 7. Claesson V. 36. Clem W. 4. Garananga M. 21. Madsen M. 24. Meling B. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 20. Suzuki J. 22. Zague Y.
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Huescas R. ↓, Zague Y. ↑,
28', 1 - 0, Zoubir A. ⚽, Pedro Bicalho (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Robert ↓, Suzuki J. ↑,
46', Moukoko Y. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
50', Lopez M. 🟨,
69', Hatzidiakos P. ↓, Achouri E. ↑,
70', Kashchuk O. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
74', Matheus Silva 🟨,
78', Leandro Andrade ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
78', Duran C. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
78', Delaney T. ↓, Madsen M. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Addai E. ⚽, Akhundzade N. (A),
85', Bayramov T. 🟨,
90', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
90', Zoubir A. ↓, Chriso ↑,
90+3', Akhundzade N. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium.

Qarabağ has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Copenhagen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Copenhagen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Qarabağ: Akhundzade N. (Injury) Jankovic M. (Injury) Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Rzayev A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Copenhagen: Cornelius A. (Injury) Hojer O. (Surgery) Mattsson M. (Knee Injury) Moalem J. (Hip Injury) West L. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Qarabağ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
26.09.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Qarabağ Agdam	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Benfica - Qarabağ Agdam	2:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
12.09.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Karvan - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 WWWTW
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
27.09.25	SønderjyskE - Copenhagen	1:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Lyngby BK - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
21.09.25	Copenhagen - Silkeborg IF	3:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.25	Copenhagen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
13.09.25	Brøndby - Copenhagen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
23.08.17	Copenhagen - Qarabağ Agdam	2:1
15.08.17	Qarabağ Agdam - Copenhagen	1:0

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