Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Aghayev A. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Copenhagen		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.38
	3.25	3.3	2.15
	3.05	3.4	2.45
	3.13	3.4	2.42
	1.82	3.35	4.64	Watch
	3.75	3.5	1.95
	3.12	3.53	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.22)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	2.63 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
32.9%

Draw
29.3%

Bayer Leverkusen
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.5%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

28.2%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayer Leverkusen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	17.1%	67.1%

Copenhagen - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 11 - 14.9%). Bayer will win (votes: 50 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 56.9% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Copenhagen (1.62) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Bayer (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Copenhagen (2.24) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 42 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 4 - 9.5%). Bayer (votes: 32 - 76.2%). Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kotarski D. (G) 13. Huescas R. 5. Gabriel Pereira 6. Hatzidiakos P. 15. Lopez M. 11. Larsson J. 27. Delaney T. (C) 12. Lerager L. 30. Achouri E. 10. Elyounoussi M. 9. Moukoko Y.	1. Flekken M. (G) 4. Quansah J. 5. Bade L. 12. Tapsoba E. 21. Lucas 8. Andrich R. (C) 6. Fernandez E. 20. Grimaldo A. 17. Ben Seghir E. 10. Tillman M. 14. Schick P.
Substitutes
61. Buur O. (G) 7. Claesson V. 36. Clem W. 4. Garananga M. 21. Madsen M. 24. Meling B. 16. Robert 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 20. Suzuki J. 22. Zague Y.	13. Arthur 44. Belocian J. 28. Blaswich J. (G) 9. Echeverri C. 24. Garcia A. 35. Kofane C. M. 36. Lomb N. (G) 30. Maza I. 19. Poku E. 16. Tape A.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Hjulmand K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Larsson J. ⚽, Achouri E. (A),
33', Lopez M. 🟨,
44', Hatzidiakos P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Fernandez E. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
51', Tillman M. ↓, Maza I. ↑,
53', Delaney T. 🟨,
55', Delaney T. ↓, Madsen M. ↑,
62', Lucas 🟨,
67', Ben Seghir E. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
67', Bade L. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
69', Moukoko Y. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
79', Larsson J. ↓, Zague Y. ↑,
79', Achouri E. ↓, Robert ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Grimaldo A. ⚽,
87', 2 - 1, Robert ⚽, Huescas R. (A),
88', Andrich R. ↓, Kofane C. M. ↑,
89', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 2, Hatzidiakos P. (Own goal), Echeverri C. (A),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bayer is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Cornelius A. (Injury) Hojer O. (Surgery) Mattsson M. (Knee Injury) Moalem J. (Hip Injury) West L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bayer: Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (Inactive) Tella N. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Copenhagen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
13.09.25	Brøndby - Copenhagen	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Randers FC - Copenhagen	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
27.08.25	Copenhagen - Basel	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
23.08.25	Copenhagen - OB Odense	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.08.25	Basel - Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWTT
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
12.09.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
15.08.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Bayer Leverkusen	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.25	Chelsea - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.01.23	Bayer Leverkusen - Copenhagen	1:0
UEFA Champions League
27.08.14	Bayer Leverkusen - Copenhagen	4:0
19.08.14	Copenhagen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3

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