Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Sundberg J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Qarabağ Agdam		Lincoln Red Imps

	1	X	2
	1.18	7	15	Watch
	1.17	7.75	16.5
	1.18	7	13	Watch
	1.15	8.86	16
	1.13	8.49	15.54	Watch
	1.04	9.5	29
	1.18	8.1	17	Watch
	1.15	7.5	15.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.1)	8.03 ↓ (8.78)	17.19 ↓ (18.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qarabağ Agdam
82.7%

Draw
11.8%

Lincoln Red Imps
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.4%

10.6%

5.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lincoln Red Imps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Qarabağ Agdam - Lincoln Red Imps Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%). Lincoln Red Imps will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Qarabağ: 67.1% – 98.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Buntic F. (G) 29. Vesovic M. 13. Mustafazada B. 81. Medina K. 27. Bayramov T. 6. Romao J. 8. Jankovic M. 15. Leandro Andrade 7. Benzia Y. 10. Zoubir A. (C) 18. Juninho	1. Nauzet Santana (G) 24. Sergeant J. 15. Munoz R. 6. Lopes B. (C) 5. Ayew I. 22. Torrilla G. 8. Yahaya M. 21. Nano 20. Britto E. 17. Pedro Martin 11. Valarino J.
Substitutes
90. Akhundzade N. 66. Andrade P. 30. Huseynov A. 55. Huseynov B. 24. Isayev A. 17. Keyta H. 1. Mahammadaliyev S. (G) 12. Mammadzada S. (G) 20. Richard Almeyda 2. Silva M. 19. Xhixha R.	33. Burnet D. 7. Casciaro L. 30. Cid C. 19. Clinton K. 10. De Barr T. 18. Garcia T. 9. Gomez K. 27. Hankins J. (G) 23. Joe 70. Villacanas V. 13. Villanueva I. (G)
Coaches
Qurbanov Q.	Sanchiz M. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Jankovic M. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Bayramov T. (A),
44', 3 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Zoubir A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pedro Martin ↓, Gomez K. ↑,
58', Yahaya M. ↓, Joe ↑,
59', Britto E. ↓, Cid C. ↑,
63', Valarino J. ↓, Garcia T. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Benzia Y. ⚽, Juninho (A),
71', Mustafazada B. ↓, Huseynov B. ↑,
71', Vesovic M. ↓, Silva M. ↑,
72', 5 - 0, Leandro Andrade ⚽, Juninho (A),
76', Sergeant J. ↓, Casciaro L. ↑,
77', Casciaro L. 🟨,
80', Juninho ↓, Xhixha R. ↑,
81', Zoubir A. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
81', Leandro Andrade ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Qarabağ is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Qarabağ is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Qarabağ won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Qarabağ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Lincoln Red Imps - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.24	Slaven Belupo - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
09.07.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
09.07.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Kaiserslautern	1:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
02.06.24	Qarabağ Agdam - Zira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WWWLW
- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Lincoln Red Imps - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Lincoln Red Imps - Hamrun Spartans	1:1 penalties ✺
09.07.24	Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps	0:1 ✺
Gibraltar Cup
17.04.24	Lincoln Red Imps - Europa	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	St Josephs - Lincoln Red Imps	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Lincoln Red Imps - Qarabağ Agdam	0:2
19.07.23	Qarabağ Agdam - Lincoln Red Imps	4:0
11.07.23	Lincoln Red Imps - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2

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