Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Kachevski J. (Mkd)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
China	ZhiBo8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 18
Germany	RTL+
Greece	ANT 1+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 19
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Hamrun Spartans		Lincoln Red Imps

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5.5
	1.52	4.25	5.4
	1.53	4.23	5.81
	1.70	3.89	4.67	Watch
	1.59	4.27	5.93
	1.52	4.2	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.71)	4.17 ↑ (3.77)	5.51 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hamrun Spartans
60.3%

Draw
22.6%

Lincoln Red Imps
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hamrun Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hamrun Spartans's performance.

Lincoln Red Imps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.4%	10.3%	17.2%

Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Hamrun will win (votes: 21 - 75%). Lincoln Red Imps will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamrun: 59% – 91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Lincoln Red Imps (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Hamrun (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Lincoln Red Imps (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Hamrun (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Hamrun (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Lincoln Red Imps (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bonello H. (C) 2. Rafael Compri 91. Emerson 13. Polito V. 94. Camenzuli R. 10. Mbong J. 27. Bjelicic O. 25. Ederson 8. Garcia M. 9. Thioune S. 19. Koffi N.	13. Hankins J. (G) 6. Lopes B. (C) 24. Kolega T. 21. Nano 3. Rutjens C. 22. Torrilla G. 10. De Barr T. 80. Dabo B. 9. Gomez K. 18. Garcia T. 8. Mandi
Substitutes
7. Attard S. 20. Cadjenovic J. 16. Camilleri S. 98. Celio (G) 24. Coric A. 47. El Fanis M. 77. Hadzi M. 99. Meijer S. 3. Micallef N. 33. Simkus D. 14. Smajlagic S. 5. Xerri S.	7. Casciaro L. 29. Chipolina L. 19. Clinton K. 99. Elghobashy A. 23. Joe 11. Juanje 15. Munoz R. 1. Nauzet Santana (G) 71. Peacock J. 4. Pozo N.
Coaches
Modica G.	Bezares J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Ederson 🟨,
41', Torrilla G. 🟨,
45', Bjelicic O. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Thioune S. ↓, Smajlagic S. ↑,
46', Ederson ↓, El Fanis M. ↑,
51', Koffi N. 🟨,
51', Mandi 🟨,
56', Polito V. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Lopes B. ⚽, De Barr T. (A),
63', Torrilla G. 🟨,
65', Hankins J. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, El Fanis M. ⚽, Koffi N. (A),
67', Gomez K. ↓, Pozo N. ↑,
72', Garcia M. ↓, Cadjenovic J. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Smajlagic S. ⚽, Rafael Compri (A),
79', Polito V. 🟨,
82', Dabo B. ↓, Munoz R. ↑,
82', Mandi ↓, Juanje ↑,
85', Mbong J. ↓, Coric A. ↑,
90', Lopes B. ↓, Elghobashy A. ↑,
90+1', Koffi N. ↓, Xerri S. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 1, Coric A. ⚽, Cadjenovic J. (A),
90+3', Bonello H. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Ta'Qali National Stadium.

Hamrun is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lincoln Red Imps may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hamrun has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hamrun is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Lincoln Red Imps: Britto E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Lincoln Red Imps: Villacanas V. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hamrun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Hamrun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hamrun Spartans
Maltese Premier League
22.11.25	Hamrun Spartans - Valletta	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Samsunspor - Hamrun Spartans	3:0 ✺
Maltese Premier League
01.11.25	Birkirkara - Hamrun Spartans	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Floriana - Hamrun Spartans	1:3 ✺
26.10.25	Naxxar Lions - Hamrun Spartans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWT
- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
23.10.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Zrinjski Mostar - Lincoln Red Imps	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	Braga - Lincoln Red Imps	5:1 ✺
21.08.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Braga	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Lincoln Red Imps - Hamrun Spartans	1:1 penalties
09.07.24	Hamrun Spartans - Lincoln Red Imps	0:1

Upcoming Matches