Match Info

ASIA: AFC Asian Cup U23 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Doha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Qatar U23		Japan U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.65
	5	3.5	1.68
	5.15	3.47	1.73
	5.15	3.47	1.69
	6.5	3.8	1.44
	5.24	3.59	1.64	Watch
	5.8	3.4	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↑ (3.63)	3.52 ↑ (3.1)	1.63 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qatar U23
17.3%

Draw
26.2%

Japan U23
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

29%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

30.1%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qatar U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qatar U23's form might have worsened.

Japan U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qatar U23 than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qatar U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan U23 than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Japan U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Qatar U23 - Japan U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Japan U23 will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Japan U23: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baliadeh Y. (G) Al-Sadd 5. Al Hussain H. 4. Aiash M. Al Ahli 3. Fadlalla S. Al-Gharafa 11. Al Yazidi A. Al-Sadd 15. Gaber J. Al Arabi (Qatar) 8. Al Hadhrami N. Al Rayyan 6. Meshaal M. 13. Al Ali A. Al Rayyan 10. Ali Al Wakra 19. Al Rawi A. Al Rayyan	1. Kokubo L. (G) Benfica 4. Hiroki S. Kashiwa Reysol 22. Takai K. Kawasaki Frontale 5. Kimura S. Sagan Tosu 21. Ohata A. Urawa Reds 8. Fujita J. St. Truiden 7. Yamamoto R. St. Truiden 11. Yamada F. Verdy 17. Matsuki K. FC Tokyo 10. Sato K. Werder Bremen 19. Hosoya M. Kashiwa Reysol
Substitutes
9. Al Abdullah T. Al Rayyan 23. Al Manai M. Al Markhiya 16. Al Sharshani J. Al Ahli 20. Gouda M. K. CD Calahorra 12. Hamza M. CD Calahorra 22. Hassan A. (G) Al Arabi (Qatar) 18. Irfan N. Al Wakra 17. Madjer L. Al-Duhail 21. Mahmoud A. N. (G) Al Khor 7. Said F. Al-Duhail 14. Salem M. Shamal 2. Yousif A. Al-Gharafa	13. Araki R. FC Tokyo 9. Fujio S. Machida Zelvia 2. Handa R. Gamba Osaka 20. Hirakawa Y. Machida Zelvia 6. Kawasaki S. Kyoto 12. Nozawa T. (G) FC Tokyo 15. Suzuki K. Iwata 14. Tanaka S. Shonan Bellmare 18. Uchino K. 16. Uchino T. Dusseldorf 23. Yamada T. (G) Kashima Antlers

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Yamada F. ⚽,
21', Al Hadhrami N. 🟨,
24', 1 - 1, Al Rawi A. ⚽, Al Yazidi A. (A),
30', Matsuki K. 🟨,
41', Baliadeh Y. 🟥,
44', Ali ↓, Mahmoud A. N. ↑,
45+5', Kimura S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Matsuki K. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Gaber J. ⚽, Meshaal M. (A),
51', Hassan A. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Kimura S. ⚽, Yamamoto R. (A),
81', Al Rawi A. ↓, Al Abdullah T. ↑,
81', Al Yazidi A. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
83', Sato K. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
90+4', Al Ali A. ↓, Al Manai M. ↑,
90+4', Al Hussain H. ↓, Irfan N. ↑,
90+6', Yamada F. ↓, Araki R. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 2)
98', Al Hadhrami N. ↓, Said F. ↑,
101', 2 - 3, Hosoya M. ⚽, Araki R. (A),
106', Yamamoto R. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
106', Hosoya M. ↓, Uchino K. ↑,
112', 2 - 4, Uchino K. ⚽,
114', Ohata A. ↓, Handa R. ↑,
118', Handa R. 🟨,

Preview

Qatar U23 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Japan U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Japan U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Japan U23 is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Qatar U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qatar U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
21.04.24	Qatar U23 - Australia U23	0:0 ✺
18.04.24	Jordan U23 - Qatar U23	1:2 ✺
15.04.24	Qatar U23 - Indonesia U23	2:0 ✺
Friendly
07.04.24	Qatar U23 - Malaysia U23	1:0 ✺
02.04.24	Qatar U23 - China U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWWL
- Japan U23
AFC Asian Cup U23
22.04.24	Japan U23 - South Korea U23	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	United Arab Emirates U23 - Japan U23	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Japan U23 - China U23	1:0 ✺
Friendly
25.03.24	Japan U23 - Ukraine	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Japan U23 - Mali U23	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Asian Games Football
20.09.23	Japan U23 - Qatar U23	3:1
Friendly
26.03.22	Qatar U23 - Japan U23	0:2
AFC Asian Cup U23
15.01.20	Qatar U23 - Japan U23	1:1

Qatar U23 - Japan U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide