Match Info

League Two - Round 21

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Qingdao Red Lions		Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.80	2.95	1.93
	3.4	2.75	2.15
	3.54	2.59	2.36
	4.01	2.71	2.14	Watch
	3.5	2.55	2.3
	3.59	2.64	2.25
	4.25	2.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.27)	2.71 ↓ (3.5)	2.14 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
24.3%

Draw
33.4%

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

23.9%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

22.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanxi Chongde Ronghai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Qingdao Red Lions - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. He Zhizhe (G) 13. Yao Zhiyu 6. Emet E. 55. Huang X. 4. Huang Yuxuan 39. Li Z. 8. Zhou Jianyi 28. Sun Xu (C) 16. Jiang Kaihua 10. Osmanjan Abduhelil 17. Chen Jiaqi	13. Zhang Haixuan (G) 55. He L. 39. Zhang Tianlong 60. Zhang Junzhe 30. Ling Zhongyang 24. Wang Haowen 16. Ding Yunfeng 9. Palmanjan K. 7. Kurban Eysajan (C) 19. Wu Linfeng 33. Chen Xiangyu
Substitutes
9. Chen Shihao 21. Chen Zitong 3. Dai Bowei 11. Deng Jiajie 7. Li Mingfan 20. Mehmut Ferdanwus 26. Mei Jingxuan 33. Sun Weijia 22. Wang G. 14. Wen Zhengkuan 35. Yang Minjie 23. Zhang D. (G)	14. Beisen H. 28. Chen Shaohao 10. Iskandar B. 22. Li Jinyu 8. Luan H. 49. Lu Jiajun 37. Nurlan Nurzat 4. Wang J. 15. Wang Kuan (G) 5. Yang Wenjie 23. Yang Yixuan 31. Zhuoyu Y. (G)
Coaches
Zhang Y.	Cui E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Chen Jiaqi ⚽, Huang Yuxuan (A),
55', Wu Linfeng 🟨,
56', Wu Linfeng ↓, Beisen H. ↑,
63', Ling Zhongyang ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
69', Yao Zhiyu ↓, Yang Minjie ↑,
78', Palmanjan K. 🟨,
79', He L. ↓, Nurlan Nurzat ↑,
81', Zhou Jianyi ↓, Wen Zhengkuan ↑,
81', Li Z. ↓, Deng Jiajie ↑,
81', Osmanjan Abduhelil ↓, Li Mingfan ↑,
88', Jiang Kaihua ↓, Mei Jingxuan ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Promotion Group: )).

Qingdao Red Lions is League Two (Relegation Group )

Shanxi is Qualified for League Two (Promotion Group )

In recent matches, Qingdao Red Lions has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shanxi is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Qingdao Red Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shanxi is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qingdao Red Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	25	13	5	7	30:18	12	44

Last Results with these Odds

Qingdao Red Lions - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 25.61%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Yi League
01.08.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
27.07.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Beijing Institute of Technology	6:1 ✺
19.07.26	Taian Tiankuang - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Qingdao Red Lions - Shandong Taishan B	0:1 ✺
05.07.26	Dalian Yingbo B - Qingdao Red Lions	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLT
- Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Chinese Yi League
05.08.26	Shanghai Port B - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Dalian Yingbo B - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Dalian Kewei	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
27.05.26	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Qingdao Red Lions	2:3

Qingdao Red Lions - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide