The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Qrendi 21.1%
Draw 23.3%
Lija Athletic 55.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.8%
23.2%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
22.3%
57.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qrendi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qrendi than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
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Preview
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).
Qrendi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Lija Athletic is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Qrendi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Lija Athletic is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Qrendi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Qrendi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.