Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Lija Athletic		Attard

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.4
	1.57	4	4.75	Watch
	1.54	3.78	4.26
	1.56	4.15	4.69
	1.57	4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.45)	3.97 ↓ (4.2)	4.52 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
57.5%

Draw
22.6%

Attard
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.6%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

14.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Attard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lija Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Attard than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 4 and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Lija is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Attard is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Attard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lija is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lija won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Lija won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
17.02.24	Msida Saint-Joseph - Lija Athletic	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Lija Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Lija Athletic - Swieqi United	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTLT
- Attard FC
Maltese Challenge League
18.02.24	Attard - Luqa St. Andrews	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Fgura United - Attard	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Senglea Athletic - Attard	2:0 ✺
27.01.24	Swieqi United - Attard	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Attard - Zejtun Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
17.12.23	Attard - Lija Athletic	2:3
12.03.23	Attard - Lija Athletic	1:1
22.10.22	Lija Athletic - Attard	2:1

Lija Athletic - Attard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide