The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queen of the South 45.9%
Draw 25%
Annan Athletic 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
24.1%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53%
24.3%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queen of the South's form might have worsened.
Annan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Annan Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queen of the South, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Annan Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Queen of the South - Annan Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, Young C. (Penalty Awarded),
51', 1 - 1, Dixon J. ⚽, Gibson W. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Queen of the South may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Queen of the South holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Queen of the South has recorded 11 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:19 (averaging 2.2:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Queen of the South against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:9 goals (averaging 2.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Queen of South ✔
5
3
2
0
11:4
7
11
20
Annan
5
2
2
1
9:5
4
8
Last Results with these Odds
Annan Athletic - the odds 3.88 are the expected chance of winning is 23.38%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.