The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hamilton Academical 69.3%
Draw 19.1%
Queen of the South 11.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.7%
21.4%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.6%
20.8%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamilton Academical has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamilton Academical than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queen of the South than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Hamilton Academical - Queen of the South Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lyness D. (G) 2. Comrie A. 16. Smutek K. 3. Gallacher T. 33. Hendrie S. (C) 8. MacDonald K. 17. Bannigan S. 6. Blues C. 7. Thomas D. 29. Ryan A. 27. McKinstry S.
1. Mehmet D. (G) 2. Goldie C. 15. Rogerson N. 12. Want S. (C) 3. Charters T. 8. MacKenzie Z. 17. Ellis R. 7. Smith L. 14. Johnstone B. 16. Coughlin C. 9. Young C.
Substitutes
21. Crookston G. 24. Eadie A. 12. Lane J. (G) 14. McGinlay A. 18. Morgan L. 5. Owens F. 22. Shiels D.
11. Dair B. 18. Davis A. 25. Gray B. 27. Kelly J. 32. McColm R. 5. McQueen C. 26. Morton B. 34. Petry S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Smith L. ⚽, Johnstone B. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Ryan A. ⚽, Blues C. (A),
34', 2 - 1, Ryan A. ⚽, McKinstry S. (A),
41', 3 - 1, Ryan A. ⚽, Thomas D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Johnstone B. ↓, Davis A. ↑,
69', 4 - 1, Gallacher T. ⚽, Thomas D. (A),
70', Bannigan S. ↓, McGinlay A. ↑,
70', Thomas D. ↓, Crookston G. ↑,
73', MacKenzie Z. 🟨,
74', Hendrie S. ↓, Owens F. ↑,
80', Blues C. 🟨,
86', Young C. ↓, Dair B. ↑,
86', Ryan A. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
86', McKinstry S. ↓, Eadie A. ↑,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 10th in the Relegation ~ League Two).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamilton won 1.
Hamilton is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Queen of the South has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Queen of the South may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Hamilton enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hamilton has recorded 13 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:20 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hamilton against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 18:8 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
Watch
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Lyness D. (G) 
Comrie A. 
Smutek K. 
Mehmet D. (G) 
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