Match Info

League Cup

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Palmerston Park (Dumfries)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Queen of the South		Kelty Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.70	4.50
	1.61	4.00	4.50
	1.68	3.95	4.40
	1.66	4.15	4.76
	1.63	4.14	4.82	Watch
	1.61	4.10	4.65
	1.67	3.87	4.70
	1.62	4.00	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)	3.99 ↓ (4.03)	4.64 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queen of the South
56.7%

Draw
23.3%

Kelty Hearts
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queen of the South has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Kelty Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trialist (G) 8. Rogerson N. 5. McQueen C. 6. Hannah J. 3. Charters T. 11. MacKenzie Z. 2. Trialist A 4. Stott J. (C) 7. Smith L. 10. Clark N. 9. Guthrie K.	1. Smith J. (G) 7. Moffett F. 4. Corr D. 35. Brydon J. (C) 3. Hannah C. 26. Cunningham R. 8. McManus C. 6. Ferguson A. 10. Moore L. 29. Shanley R. 5. Flatman C.
Substitutes
16. Gray B. 14. Johnstone B. 15. Kelly J. 12. Luissint B. 18. Morton B. 34. Petry S. (G) 17. Thomson J.	21. Adamson R. (G) 24. Fellows C. 22. Flatman Z. 9. Higginbotham K. 30. Leitch G. 16. McMurdo J. 28. Snoddy J. 14. Thomson C. 25. Walker G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Cunningham R. ⚽, Ferguson A. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Clark N. ⚽, Smith L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', McQueen C. 🟨,
69', Shanley R. ↓, Higginbotham K. ↑,
81', Guthrie K. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
82', Moffett F. ↓, Thomson C. ↑,
87', Clark N. ↓, Luissint B. ↑,
88', Flatman C. ↓, Walker G. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Cunningham R. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Stott J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, McManus C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, MacKenzie Z. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Ferguson A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Charters T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Higginbotham K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Smith L. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Moore L. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Luissint B. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Corr D. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Hannah J. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 3.

In this match, Queen of the South is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Queen of the South won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Queen of the South won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queen of the South
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Queen of the South - Crusaders	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Queen of the South - Gap Connahs Quay	0:1 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
09.05.26	Stenhousemuir - Queen of the South	3:2 penalties ✺
05.05.26	Queen of the South - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
Scottish League One
02.05.26	Alloa Athletic - Queen of the South	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTW
- Kelty Hearts
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Kelty Hearts - Dunfermline Athletic	0:3 ✺
27.06.26	East Kilbride - Kelty Hearts	4:0 ✺
Scottish League One
02.05.26	Peterhead - Kelty Hearts	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Kelty Hearts - Cove Rangers	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Inverness - Kelty Hearts	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
04.04.26	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	1:1
10.01.26	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	3:1
15.11.25	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	1:1
30.08.25	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	2:1
19.04.25	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	1:3
01.03.25	Queen of the South - Kelty Hearts	0:1
21.12.24	Kelty Hearts - Queen of the South	2:0

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