The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queens Park Rangers U21 48.5%
Draw 20.1%
Bristol City U21 31.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.7%
23.9%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
24.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
The chances for Bristol City U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park Rangers U21 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City U21 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Queens Park Rangers U21 - Bristol City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Yeboah E. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 1 - 1, Dembele K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Sanghrajka A. ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Sanghrajka A. ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th and 4th in the Promotion - Professional Development League Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR U21 won 0.
QPR U21 has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bristol City U21 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bristol City U21 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, QPR U21 has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:14 (averaging 0.9:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for QPR U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Bristol City U21
8
3
3
2
19:15
4
12
14
QPR U21
10
2
2
6
17:28
-11
8
Last Results with these Odds
Queens Park Rangers U21 - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.74%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Bristol City U21 - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.4%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.