The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Queens Park Rangers U21 28.8%
Draw 21.7%
Cardiff City U21 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
23.9%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
24.4%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park Rangers U21's form might have worsened.
Cardiff City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers U21 than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park Rangers U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City U21 than the current prediction. (-18.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Queens Park Rangers U21 - Cardiff City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Wright J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR U21 won 3.
QPR U21 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cardiff U21 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
QPR U21 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Cardiff U21 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, QPR U21 has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:16 (averaging 2.3:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for QPR U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 11:6 goals (averaging 2.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Cardiff U21
6
2
3
1
14:6
8
9
16
QPR U21
8
1
2
5
13:22
-9
5
Last Results with these Odds
Cardiff City U21 - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.4%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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