Match Info

Australia Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Lions Stadium (Brisbane)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Queensland Lions		Melbourne City

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.50	1.86	Watch
	3.30	3.30	1.90
	3.55	3.95	1.72
	3.45	3.51	2.02
	3.72	4.07	1.8	Watch
	3.35	3.40	2.00
	4.47	4.07	1.72	Watch
	3.45	3.60	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↓ (3.99)	3.68 ↓ (4.1)	1.86 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queensland Lions
25.6%

Draw
25%

Melbourne City
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.8%

22.2%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queensland Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Queensland Lions - Melbourne City Predictions

Users Predictions: Melbourne City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Riley J. (G) 5. Jarrad T. 18. Deng C. 17. North Z. 14. Debele E. 12. Carlos S. (C) 10. Akbari R. 3. Hart-Phillips J. 8. Hore M. 9. Broderick L. 4. Ponting B.	40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G) 13. Atkinson N. (C) 4. Bonetig L. 2. Delbridge H. 22. Antoniou P. 41. Wong L. 14. Kutleshi B. 24. Rahmani K. 35. Memeti M. 17. Caputo M. 38. Baker B.
Substitutes
23. Beakhurst F. 30. Enticknap J. 11. Lagos J. 22. Oyet F. 19. Palm C. 2. Ponting L. 1. Satorie P. (G)	39. Ballah R. 44. Boston I. 1. Freke M. (G) 77. Kanamori T. 20. Mazzeo B. 15. Nabbout A. 34. Necovski J.
Coaches
Barber D.	Vidmar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Nieuwenhuizen J. (Own goal),
40', Rahmani K. 🟨,
42', Akbari R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Caputo M. ↓, Nabbout A. ↑,
56', Baker B. ↓, Ballah R. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Hore M. ⚽, Broderick L. (A),
63', Ponting B. ↓, Lagos J. ↑,
66', Antoniou P. ↓, Boston I. ↑,
66', Wong L. ↓, Mazzeo B. ↑,
71', Akbari R. ↓, Beakhurst F. ↑,
79', Jarrad T. ↓, Ponting L. ↑,
84', Nabbout A. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
89', Deng C. 🟨,
89', Broderick L. 🟨,

Preview

Lions has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lions has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melbourne City is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queensland Lions
Australian NPL Queensland
07.08.26	Queensland Lions - Brisbane Roar U23	4:2 ✺
01.08.26	Queensland Lions - Peninsula Power	1:0 ✺
Australian Cup
21.07.26	Queensland Lions - Perth Glory	2:1 penalties ✺
Australian NPL Queensland
18.07.26	Gold Coast United - Queensland Lions	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Queensland Lions - Eastern Suburbs	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- Melbourne City
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Melbourne City - Palermo	0:2 ✺
Australian Cup
26.07.26	Weston Bears - Melbourne City	0:3 ✺
Australian A-League
02.05.26	Auckland FC - Melbourne City	2:1 penalties ✺
26.04.26	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLW

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