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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Roar 26.8%
Draw 26.5%
Melbourne City 46.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.1%
25.1%
52.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
24.9%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
20%
60%
Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne City: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bouzanis D. (C) 2. Salas Y. 5. Lode M. 3. Valkanis D. 23. McGarry J. 44. Lauton J. 31. Maieroni N. 8. Klein S. 13. Hore H. 10. Vrakas G. 17. Vidic J.
1. Beach P. (G) 36. Shillington H. 22. Ferreyra G. 26. Souprayen S. 16. Behich A. (C) 30. Kuen A. 19. Schreiber Z. 47. Rahmani K. 28. Younis M. 15. Nabbout A. 11. Rashani E.
Substitutes
16. Dench M. 11. Freke M. (G) 6. Ludwik A. 30. MacNicol Q. 26. O'Shea J. 19. Ruhs M. 39. Thom N.
37. Antoniou P. 17. Caputo M. 2. Delbridge H. 39. Durakovic E. 7. Leckie M. 35. Memeti M. 40. Nieuwenhuizen J. (G)
Coaches
Valkanis M.
Vidmar A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Vidic J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
61', 1 - 1, Younis M. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Shillington H. ↓, Antoniou P. ↑,
62', Nabbout A. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Younis M. ⚽,
70', McGarry J. ↓, Dench M. ↑,
70', Vrakas G. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
75', Lauton J. ↓, O'Shea J. ↑,
76', Schreiber Z. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
76', Rahmani K. ↓, Durakovic E. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Memeti M. ⚽, Rashani E. (A),
81', Younis M. ↓, Caputo M. ↑,
82', Lode M. ↓, Thom N. ↑,
85', Kuen A. 🟨,
89', Memeti M. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 3, Salas Y. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 0.
Recent performances by Brisbane have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Melbourne City is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Melbourne City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Brisbane has had a series of home games.
Melbourne City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Bility H.
(Inactive)
D'Agostino N.
(Knee Injury)
Long Ch.
(Ankle Injury)
Stajic M.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Lopane A.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 24:41. (average 1.2:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.6:1.5).
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Bouzanis D. (C) 
Salas Y. 
Lode M. 
McGarry J. 
Vrakas G. 
Ferreyra G. 
Souprayen S. 
Kuen A. 
Rashani E. 
O'Shea J. 
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