Match Info

NPL Queensland Women - Round 26

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	20:30	FQTV


	Queensland Lions		Sunshine Coast Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.80	7.00
	1.3	4.85	7.3
	1.3	5.16	7.82
	1.32	5.02	7.64
	1.28	5.1	7.7
	1.32	5.35	7.49	Watch
	1.3	4.8	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.61)	5.01 ↑ (4.03)	7.45 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Queensland Lions
69.7%

Draw
18.1%

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
12.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.4%

22.5%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

21%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queensland Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Queensland Lions's performance.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunshine Coast Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Queensland Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Coast Wanderers than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunshine Coast Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Queensland Lions - Sunshine Coast Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Queensland Lions is Qualified for NPL Queensland Women (Play Offs )

Queensland Lions is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sunshine Coast has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Queensland Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sunshine Coast has had a series of away games.

In this match, Queensland Lions is the obvious favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Queensland Lions Women
Australian NPL Queensland Women
01.08.26	Souths Strikers - Queensland Lions	1:6 ✺
29.07.26	Gold Coast Knights - Queensland Lions	0:3 ✺
24.07.26	Queensland Lions - Capalaba	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Queensland Lions - Brisbane City	1:0 ✺
11.07.26	Queensland Lions - Eastern Suburbs	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWW
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers Women
Australian NPL Queensland Women
04.08.26	Gold Coast United - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	0:3 ✺
01.08.26	Eastern Suburbs - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Souths Strikers	4:0 ✺
14.07.26	Capalaba - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Brisbane City - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWL

Queensland Lions - Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Queensland Lions - Sunshine Coast Wanderers Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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