Match Info

NPL Queensland Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Gold Coast Knights		Queensland Lions

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.60	3.50
	1.85	3.35	3.5
	1.85	3.93	3.6
	1.87	4.02	3.29
	1.81	3.85	3.15
	1.78	3.62	3.79
	1.85	3.45	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.98)	3.69 ↑ (3.35)	3.47 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gold Coast Knights
49.4%

Draw
24.5%

Queensland Lions
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gold Coast Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Queensland Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Knights than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queensland Lions than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Gold Coast Knights - Queensland Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Recent performances by Gold Coast Knights have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Queensland Lions is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gold Coast Knights will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast Knights won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast Knights won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gold Coast Knights Women
Australian NPL Queensland Women
15.08.26	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Gold Coast Knights	0:3 ✺
07.08.26	Gold Coast Knights - Eastern Suburbs	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Gold Coast Knights - Brisbane City	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Gold Coast United - Gold Coast Knights	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Gold Coast Knights - Queensland Lions	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL
- Queensland Lions Women
Australian NPL Queensland Women
15.08.26	FQ Academy QAS - Queensland Lions	1:7 ✺
12.08.26	Queensland Lions - Gold Coast United	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Queensland Lions - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Souths Strikers - Queensland Lions	1:6 ✺
29.07.26	Gold Coast Knights - Queensland Lions	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland Women
29.07.26	Gold Coast Knights - Queensland Lions	0:3
30.06.26	Gold Coast Knights - Queensland Lions	2:0

Gold Coast Knights - Queensland Lions