Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Quilmes 2		Ferro 2

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.40	4.20
	1.65	3.55	4.20
	1.78	3.5	4.35
	1.65	3.65	4.86	Watch
	1.62	3.65	5
	1.7	3.69	4.74
	1.65	3.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)	4.54 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes 2
54.5%

Draw
25.4%

Ferro 2
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

22.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ferro 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes 2 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Quilmes 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Quilmes 2 - Ferro 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18).

Recent form of Quilmes 2 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferro 2 has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Quilmes 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quilmes 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.09.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Quilmes 2	1:0 ✺
26.08.26	Quilmes 2 - Independiente 2	1:2 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético de Rafaela 2 - Quilmes 2	1:0 ✺
13.08.26	Quilmes 2 - Platense 2	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Quilmes 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWT
- Ferro Carril Oeste 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.09.26	Ferro 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1 ✺
27.08.26	Central Córdoba 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Ferro 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	0:5 ✺
13.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Ferro 2 - Deportivo Riestra 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
07.04.26	Ferro 2 - Quilmes 2	0:2

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