Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Rödinghausen		Fortuna Köln

	1	X	2
	2.98	3.55	2.12
	3	3.65	2.15
	2.93	3.44	2.14
	4.31	3.88	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.8)	3.63 ↓ (3.8)	2.01 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rödinghausen
28.1%

Draw
25.6%

Fortuna Köln
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rödinghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Fortuna Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Köln might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rödinghausen than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Köln than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Köln could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rödinghausen - Fortuna Köln Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Rödinghausen (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Rödinghausen (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rödinghausen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Al Ghaddioui H. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Wirtz E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 3, Wirtz E. ⚽,
80', 0 - 4, Hekmat K. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rödinghausen won 4.

Rödinghausen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fortuna Köln is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rödinghausen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fortuna Köln is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rödinghausen won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Rödinghausen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Rödinghausen
German Regionalliga West
20.09.25	Bonner - Rödinghausen	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Gütersloh - Rödinghausen	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Rödinghausen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLTT
- Fortuna Köln
German Regionalliga West
20.09.25	Fortuna Köln - Velbert	5:0 ✺
16.09.25	Fortuna Köln - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Fortuna Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Gütersloh - Fortuna Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
19.03.25	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Köln	1:0
27.07.24	Fortuna Köln - Rödinghausen	2:0
18.05.24	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Köln	1:0
25.11.23	Fortuna Köln - Rödinghausen	1:3
25.03.23	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Köln	1:0
05.08.22	Fortuna Köln - Rödinghausen	0:2
17.12.21	Fortuna Köln - Rödinghausen	1:0

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