Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Nord (Bonn)


	Bonner		Rödinghausen

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.6	1.9
	3.71	3.75	1.92
	3.46	3.52	1.9
	3.25	3.8	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.03)	3.67 ↓ (4)	1.92 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bonner
26.7%

Draw
25.2%

Rödinghausen
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

22.9%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

21.5%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bonner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Rödinghausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bonner than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bonner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rödinghausen than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Bonner - Rödinghausen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Keita M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bonner won 1.

Bonner is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rödinghausen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bonner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rödinghausen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bonner won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bonner won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bonner SC
German Regionalliga West
17.09.25	Velbert - Bonner	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Bonner - Fortuna Köln	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Bonner - Bocholt	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf II - Bonner	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Rot-Weiß Oberhausen - Bonner	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLL
- SV Rödinghausen
German Regionalliga West
17.09.25	Rödinghausen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Gütersloh - Rödinghausen	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Rödinghausen - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Rödinghausen	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Rödinghausen - Bochum II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
23.04.22	Bonner - Rödinghausen	0:1
13.11.21	Rödinghausen - Bonner	1:0
17.04.21	Rödinghausen - Bonner	0:0
14.11.20	Bonner - Rödinghausen	1:0
09.11.19	Rödinghausen - Bonner	2:1
20.04.19	Rödinghausen - Bonner	3:0
13.10.18	Bonner - Rödinghausen	1:2

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