Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	RAAL La Louvière		RFC Liège

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.00	5.25
	1.51	4.20	4.75
	1.58	4.40	4.70	Watch
	1.52	4.48	5.33
	1.59	4.13	4.66
	1.48	4.40	5.25
	1.54	4.17	5.48	Watch
	1.49	4.30	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.51)	4.26 ↑ (4.05)	5.08 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RAAL La Louvière
60.3%

Draw
21.6%

RFC Liège
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60%

22.3%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

21.8%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

RAAL La Louvière - RFC Liège Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Peano M. (G) 48. Coulibaly I. 29. Courcoul M. 18. Delos S. 4. Faye W. 3. Gillot N. 22. Gourville S. 30. Gruber Z. 11. Isah M. 25. Lamego D. 10. Wade M.	12. Ravet O. (G) 7. Bruggeman B. 24. Camara O. 25. D'Ostilio J. 14. Guillaume V. 5. Ngawa P. 16. N'jo E. 26. Ondo-Eyi H. 18. Paulet S. 8. Ruiz Atil K. 6. Shkurti K.
Substitutes
43. Benaets Q. 44. Boukamir M. 9. Filet E. 5. Lutonda T. 33. Nkoa P. 99. Okou Y. 91. Radelet T. (G) 90. Rousseau L. 78. Tajaouart A.	1. Andre Jr. A. (G) 11. Dendani N. 17. N'Salambi A. 15. Ogam R. 9. Qevani A. 19. Refai A. 23. Reynaerts S. 4. Wane B. 28. Wilmots R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Gruber Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Faye W. ⚽,
70', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
73', 3 - 0, Rousseau L. ⚽,
81', 🟨,
84', 4 - 0, Filet E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Louvière won 1.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Recently, RFC Liège has had a run of games away from home.

In this matchup, La Louvière is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, La Louvière has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:15 (averaging 1:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for La Louvière against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 1.5:2.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.10.26	RAAL La Louvière - Club Brugge	1:4 ✺
19.09.26	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - RAAL La Louvière	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	RAAL La Louvière - Kortrijk	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Sint-Truidense - RAAL La Louvière	4:0 ✺
29.08.26	RAAL La Louvière - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLT
- RFC Liège
Belgian Challenger Pro League
10.10.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - RFC Liège	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Atert Bissen - RFC Liège	2:2 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
19.09.26	Eupen - RFC Liège	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	RFC Liège - Brugge U23	4:4 ✺
06.09.26	Lierse - RFC Liège	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.03.25	RFC Liège - RAAL La Louvière	1:1
02.11.24	RAAL La Louvière - RFC Liège	3:1
Belgian National Division 1
13.05.23	RAAL La Louvière - RFC Liège	0:3
18.12.22	RFC Liège - RAAL La Louvière	2:0
19.01.20	RFC Liège - RAAL La Louvière	2:1
09.11.19	RAAL La Louvière - RFC Liège	3:2
Belgian Second Amateur Division Group C
09.05.18	RFC Liège - RAAL La Louvière	1:0

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