The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
RB Leipzig 41.2%
Draw 26%
Freiburg 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
26.4%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
24.4%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
RB Leipzig - Freiburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Herzog E. (G) 24. Dudek N. 3. Norheim A. 21. Landenberger J. 14. Schimmer M. 13. Starke S. (C) 6. Joly L. 27. Muller M. 16. Schasching A. 11. Baum L. 17. Boboy D.
33. Adamczyk R. (G) 19. Szenk N. 24. Sigurdardottir I. 3. Axtmann A. 2. Karl L. (C) 6. Ojukwu N. 4. Felde M. 10. Vobian S. 27. Nachtigall S. 20. Egli L. 9. Folmli S.
Substitutes
8. Asgeirsdottir E. 10. Chmielinski G. 4. Grunenberg R. 20. Krug V. 5. Magerl J. 9. Oteng P. 23. Spitzner K. 28. von Schrader L. (G)
8. Bienz A. 23. Birkholz L. E. 32. Dubel S. (G) 22. Kolb L. 15. Schneider M. 16. Stegemann G. 5. Stierli J.
Coaches
Stephan J.
Kapllani E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Joly L. 🟨,
29', Schasching A. 🟨,
32', Karl L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sigurdardottir I. ↓, Stierli J. ↑,
48', Egli L. 🟨,
51', Ojukwu N. 🟨,
52', 1 - 0, Landenberger J. ⚽,
58', Ojukwu N. 🟨,
62', Egli L. ↓, Kolb L. ↑,
62', Nachtigall S. ↓, Birkholz L. E. ↑,
67', Joly L. ↓, Asgeirsdottir E. ↑,
69', Folmli S. ↓, Schneider M. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Boboy D. ⚽, Schasching A. (A),
79', Norheim A. ↓, Krug V. ↑,
81', Vobian S. ↓, Bienz A. ↑,
88', Boboy D. ↓, Spitzner K. ↑,
88', Muller M. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 1.
RB Leipzig is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Freiburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).