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Current Win Probability
RB Leipzig 32.9%
Draw 25.2%
Köln 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
25.3%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
24%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
RB Leipzig - Köln Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Herzog E. (G) 20. Krug V. (C) 3. Norheim A. 5. Magerl J. 11. Baum L. 16. Schasching A. 6. Joly L. 27. Muller M. 10. Chmielinski G. 17. Boboy D. 8. Asgeirsdottir E.
34. Fuchs I. (G) 21. Gerhardt A. 5. Degen C. 4. Agrez S. 26. Wiankowska M. 8. Vogt L. 27. Feiersinger L. (C) 11. Bremer P. 9. Achcinska A. 25. Donhauser L. 6. Jessen S.
Substitutes
33. Dittrich S. 4. Grunenberg R. 15. Kadowaki M. 9. Oteng P. 23. Spitzner K. 28. von Schrader L. (G)
17. Andrade L. 15. Bohnen A. 32. Dubel A. (G) 30. Elsen C. 16. Hasenauer Z. 14. Imping C. 20. Matysik S. 38. Paci E. 24. Touon E.
Coaches
Stephan J.
Carlson B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Magerl J. 🟨,
20', Feiersinger L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bremer P. ↓, Andrade L. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Jessen S. ⚽,
53', Achcinska A. 🟨,
55', Krug V. 🟨,
61', Baum L. 🟨,
72', Chmielinski G. ↓, Spitzner K. ↑,
82', Achcinska A. ↓, Hasenauer Z. ↑,
84', Joly L. ↓, Oteng P. ↑,
88', Asgeirsdottir E. ↓, Kadowaki M. ↑,
90+3', Norheim A. 🟨,
90+3', Hasenauer Z. 🟨,
90+7', Gerhardt A. ↓, Bohnen A. ↑,
90+7', Kadowaki M. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 8).
RB Leipzig has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Köln has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Köln may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Köln will win today's game, with odds of 2.27.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).