The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 61.1%
Draw 22.1%
RB Leipzig 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.7%
20.6%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.3%
19.5%
14.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - RB Leipzig Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Repohl F. (C) 10. Gonzalez E. 2. Ostermeier S. 24. Turanyi L. 56. Vidal J. 19. Bender L. 6. Piljic K. 16. Zdebel S. 11. Kogel K. 21. Fudalla V. 9. Kehrer C.
1. Herzog E. (G) 20. Krug V. 3. Norheim A. 5. Magerl J. 24. Dudek N. 10. Chmielinski G. 16. Schasching A. 27. Muller M. 11. Baum L. 17. Boboy D. 8. Asgeirsdottir E.
Substitutes
8. Bartz P. 3. Friedrich M. 22. Grant R. 13. Haim V. 7. Kramer C. 17. Madl V. 18. Mickenhagen J. 34. Moll A. (G) 31. Schwartze P.
33. Dittrich S. 15. Kadowaki M. 9. Oteng P. 23. Spitzner K. 28. von Schrader L. (G)
Coaches
Patzold R.
Stephan J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Bender L. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Bender L. (A),
17', 3 - 0, Fudalla V. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Bender L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 3 - 1, Muller M. ⚽, Norheim A. (A),
60', 3 - 2, Asgeirsdottir E. ⚽, Muller M. (A),
61', Piljic K. ↓, Grant R. ↑,
61', Kogel K. ↓, Madl V. ↑,
65', Asgeirsdottir E. ↓, Oteng P. ↑,
67', Krug V. 🟨,
73', Fudalla V. 🟨,
80', Fudalla V. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
80', Kehrer C. ↓, Kramer C. ↑,
88', Krug V. ↓, Spitzner K. ↑,
90+6', Bender L. ↓, Mickenhagen J. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 9).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Bayer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bayer is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).