Match Info

GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA WOMEN - ROUND 17

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Diekmann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport


	RB Leipzig		MSV Duisburg

	1	X	2
	1.49	4	5
	1.47	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.51	4.13	5.74
	1.51	4.14	5.74
	1.43	4.2	6.3
	1.48	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	4.13 ↓ (4.24)	5.61 ↑ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
61.6%

Draw
22.1%

MSV Duisburg
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

21.7%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

20.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

MSV Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MSV Duisburg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

RB Leipzig - MSV Duisburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Herzog E. (G) 26. Graf L. 20. Krug V. (C) 29. Pollak J. 16. Croatto M. 19. Hipp J. 27. Muller M. 10. Fudalla V. 8. Rackow G. 14. Larsson M. 17. Andrade L.	1. Mahmutovic E. (G) 8. Furst V. 25. Sigurdardottir I. 3. Thomas H. 5. Flach P. 13. Muth N. R. 20. Hess A. 7. Cin M. 21. Freutel S. 9. Ries T. 17. Zielinski Y. (C)
Substitutes
11. Brecht B. 34. Grunenberg R. 7. Janez K. 15. Magerl J. 4. Racke N. 1. Schuller G. (G) 32. Werner M.	4. Bathmann K. 16. Durkin S. 30. Ebels G. 22. Frehse J. (G) 24. Josten L. 18. Prvulovic J. 6. Radosavljevic J. 2. Rosa J.
Coaches
Uzun S.	Gerstner T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Mahmutovic E. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Hipp J. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rackow G. ↓, Brecht B. ↑,
46', Freutel S. ↓, Prvulovic J. ↑,
46', Muth N. R. ↓, Bathmann K. ↑,
58', Pollak J. 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Andrade L. ⚽, Larsson M. (A),
64', Zielinski Y. ↓, Durkin S. ↑,
66', Andrade L. ↓, Werner M. ↑,
66', Croatto M. 🟨,
70', 3 - 0, Hipp J. ⚽,
73', Hess A. ↓, Josten L. ↑,
80', Croatto M. ↓, Racke N. ↑,
90', Larsson M. ↓, Janez K. ↑,
90', Krug V. ↓, Magerl J. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women).

Recent matches RB Leipzig is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Duisburg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Duisburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match RB Leipzig is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams RB Leipzig won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig Women
German Bundesliga Women
16.03.24	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	5:0 ✺
11.03.24	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	4:0 ✺
16.02.24	RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt	2:1 ✺
09.02.24	SGS Essen - RB Leipzig	4:4 ✺
03.02.24	RB Leipzig - Köln	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLWTW
- MSV Duisburg Women
German Bundesliga Women
17.03.24	MSV Duisburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
08.03.24	SGS Essen - MSV Duisburg	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal Women
05.03.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - MSV Duisburg	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga Women
18.02.24	MSV Duisburg - Köln	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Freiburg - MSV Duisburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
03.11.23	MSV Duisburg - RB Leipzig	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga Women
05.06.22	MSV Duisburg - RB Leipzig	6:1
19.12.21	RB Leipzig - MSV Duisburg	3:0

RB Leipzig - MSV Duisburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide