Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig)

Referee: Westerhoff N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	W-sport
Asia	W-Sport Asia
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	W-sport
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Molotov TV, W-Sport
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Luxembourg	W-Sport
Malaysia	Canal+
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay, W-Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Portugal	W-Sport
Russia	Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	S Sport+, W-Sport
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Usa	DAZN USA, ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	RB Leipzig		SGS Essen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.95	4.65	Watch
	1.6	4.02	4.93
	1.23	6.62	9.21	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.9
	2.02	3.38	3.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.14)	4.37 ↑ (3.32)	5.39 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
60.2%

Draw
22%

SGS Essen
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

24.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RB Leipzig's performance.

SGS Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SGS Essen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-22.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RB Leipzig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SGS Essen than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SGS Essen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

RB Leipzig - SGS Essen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herzog E. (G) 24. Dudek N. 3. Norheim A. 21. Landenberger J. 11. Baum L. 13. Starke S. 16. Schasching A. 6. Joly L. 27. Muller M. 7. Hoffmann G. (C) 15. Kadowaki M.	21. Palmen L. (G) 8. Furst V. 16. Meissner J. (C) 31. Feldkamp J. 18. Ostermeier L. 11. Elmazi L. 25. Platner P. 23. Debitzki J. 5. Flach P. 28. Potsi K. 9. Maier R.
Substitutes
8. Asgeirsdottir E. 17. Boboy D. 10. Chmielinski G. 26. Graf L. 4. Grunenberg R. 20. Krug V. 9. Oteng P. 23. Spitzner K. 28. von Schrader L. (G)	26. Backer L. 27. Buonarroti T. 20. Kopp L. 10. Kowalski N. 1. Sindermann K. (G) 14. Van Belle S.
Coaches
Stephan J.	Gerstner T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Hoffmann G. ⚽,
17', Joly L. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Landenberger J. ⚽, Kadowaki M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Debitzki J. ↓, Kopp L. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Platner P. ⚽, Kopp L. (A),
62', Baum L. 🟨,
69', Potsi K. ↓, Kowalski N. ↑,
69', Hoffmann G. ↓, Boboy D. ↑,
80', Kadowaki M. ↓, Chmielinski G. ↑,
81', Dudek N. ↓, Krug V. ↑,
81', Maier R. 🟨,
90+1', Kopp L. 🟨,
90+3', Schasching A. ↓, Graf L. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women).

Recent form of RB Leipzig has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SGS Essen has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, RB Leipzig is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:10. (average 2.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig Women
German Bundesliga Women
05.10.25	Nürnberg - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	4:3 ✺
14.09.25	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Köln - RB Leipzig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLW
- SGS Essen
German Bundesliga Women
04.10.25	SGS Essen - Wolfsburg	0:8 ✺
24.09.25	SGS Essen - Köln	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Union Berlin - SGS Essen	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	SGS Essen - Hamburger SV	0:0 ✺
05.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - SGS Essen	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
26.04.25	RB Leipzig - SGS Essen	0:3
11.11.24	SGS Essen - RB Leipzig	0:0
09.02.24	SGS Essen - RB Leipzig	4:4
29.09.23	RB Leipzig - SGS Essen	3:2
German DFB Pokal Women
28.02.23	RB Leipzig - SGS Essen	6:1

RB Leipzig - SGS Essen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide