Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Wolf L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland


	Nürnberg		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.95	4.05	1.64
	4.61	3.84	1.67	Watch
	5.61	3.7	1.54
	3.7	3.15	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.7)	3.69 ↑ (3.15)	1.68 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
19.7%

Draw
25.2%

RB Leipzig
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

28.4%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

24.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nürnberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nürnberg - RB Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Rusek L. (G) 19. Homann S. 4. Guttenberger L. (C) 27. Fordos B. 15. Wos O. 22. Pollak J. 16. Gambone A. 17. Licina S. 9. Miller L. 24. Lein N. 26. Polaskova A.	1. Herzog E. (G) 24. Dudek N. 3. Norheim A. 21. Landenberger J. 14. Schimmer M. 13. Starke S. (C) 16. Schasching A. 17. Boboy D. 10. Chmielinski G. 7. Hoffmann G. 20. Krug V.
Substitutes
29. Deuber H. 5. Frohlich C. 25. Krammer K. (G) 18. Mai F. 6. Mailbeck A. . Romero L. (G) 2. Svensson K. 12. Thole A.	8. Asgeirsdottir E. 11. Baum L. 26. Graf L. 6. Joly L. 15. Kadowaki M. 5. Magerl J. 27. Muller M. 9. Oteng P. 28. von Schrader L. (G)
Coaches
Oostendorp T.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Guttenberger L. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Dudek N. ⚽, Norheim A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Lein N. ⚽,
60', Krug V. ↓, Baum L. ↑,
60', Chmielinski G. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
62', Guttenberger L. ↓, Frohlich C. ↑,
70', Polaskova A. ↓, Mai F. ↑,
77', Pollak J. 🟨,
78', Schimmer M. ↓, Kadowaki M. ↑,
85', Miller L. 🟨,
89', Licina S. 🟨,
90+4', Pollak J. ↓, Svensson K. ↑,
90+4', Miller L. ↓, Mailbeck A. ↑,
90+5', Muller M. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 0.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Nürnberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, RB Leipzig is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg Women
German DFB Pokal Women
28.09.25	Ingolstadt - Nürnberg	3:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga Women
24.09.25	TSG Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Nürnberg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Nürnberg - Werder Bremen	1:4 ✺
07.09.25	Union Berlin - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLT
- RB Leipzig Women
German Bundesliga Women
25.09.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	0:1 ✺
22.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig	4:3 ✺
14.09.25	RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
06.09.25	Köln - RB Leipzig	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly Women
29.08.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
06.05.24	Nürnberg - RB Leipzig	0:1
08.12.23	RB Leipzig - Nürnberg	0:0
German 2 Bundesliga Women
05.03.23	Nürnberg - RB Leipzig	1:2
18.09.22	RB Leipzig - Nürnberg	1:0
08.05.22	RB Leipzig - Nürnberg	2:1
21.11.21	Nürnberg - RB Leipzig	4:3

Nürnberg - RB Leipzig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide