Match Info

Date: 28 September 2022, Wednesday


	RFC Liège		Dessel Sport

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	10
	1.2	6.79	14.15
	1.15	6.65	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.34)	6.65 ↑ (4.74)	12.22 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFC Liège
78.5%

Draw
13.9%

Dessel Sport
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

19.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

17.9%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RFC Liège's performance.

Dessel Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dessel Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RFC Liège that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dessel Sport than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

RFC Liège - Dessel Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National Division 1 (Promotion Group) and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches RFC Liège won 2.

RFC Liège in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dessel is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dessel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dessel have a series of home games.

In this match RFC Liège is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's RFC Liège to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 7 head-to-head matches RFC Liège won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams RFC Liège won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Liège
Belgian National Division 1
18.09.22	Leuven B - RFC Liège	1:4 ✺
11.09.22	RFC Liège - Rupel Boom	5:0 ✺
04.09.22	Knokke - RFC Liège	0:3 ✺
24.08.22	RFC Liège - Mandel United	9:0 ✺
17.08.22	Thes Sport - RFC Liège	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWT
- Dessel Sport
Belgian Cup
23.09.22	Dessel Sport - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
Belgian National Division 1
17.09.22	Dessel Sport - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0:4 ✺
03.09.22	Dessel Sport - Royal Antwerp 2	0:1 ✺
24.08.22	Heist - Dessel Sport	2:2 ✺
17.08.22	Dessel Sport - Knokke	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
18.05.22	RFC Liège - Dessel Sport	4:0
14.05.22	Dessel Sport - RFC Liège	2:4
20.03.22	RFC Liège - Dessel Sport	0:0
18.12.21	Dessel Sport - RFC Liège	2:2
08.12.19	RFC Liège - Dessel Sport	0:0
15.12.18	Dessel Sport - RFC Liège	3:2
23.09.18	RFC Liège - Dessel Sport	1:1

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