Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Heist		Dessel Sport

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.8
				Watch
	2.25	3.56	2.97
	2.26	3.56	2.87
	2.23	3.48	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.98)	3.5 ↓ (3.53)	2.86 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heist
41.6%

Draw
26.2%

Dessel Sport
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

26.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heist has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Dessel Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heist than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heist, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dessel Sport than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dessel Sport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Heist - Dessel Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Milts L. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Owusu W. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Troonbeeckx M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 1 - 3, Milts L. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heist won 2.

Recent matches Heist is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dessel is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heist will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Heist won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Heist won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSK Heist
Belgian National Division 1
20.03.24	Heist - Tienen	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	RAAL La Louvière - Heist	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Thes Sport - Heist	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Heist - Knokke	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Lokeren - Heist	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TWWTL
- Dessel Sport
Belgian National Division 1
20.03.24	Dessel Sport - Hoogstraten	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Dessel Sport - Knokke	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Leuven B - Dessel Sport	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Dessel Sport - Cappellen	8:0 ✺
25.02.24	Royal Antwerp 2 - Dessel Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
09.09.23	Dessel Sport - Heist	0:2
15.03.23	Dessel Sport - Heist	1:3
24.08.22	Heist - Dessel Sport	2:2
02.10.21	Dessel Sport - Heist	4:3
09.11.19	Dessel Sport - Heist	1:1
06.04.19	Heist - Dessel Sport	1:0
29.09.18	Dessel Sport - Heist	0:0

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