The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
RFC Liège 35.4%
Draw 27.7%
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 36.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
26.4%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
25.6%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFC Liège has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RFC Liège's performance.
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Patro Eisden Maasmechelen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with RFC Liège that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Patro Eisden Maasmechelen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
RFC Liège - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Belin J. (G) 5. Ngawa P. 16. N'jo E. 4. Bustin J. 25. D'Ostilio J. 28. Wilmots R. 17. Da Silva F. 7. Bruggeman B. 6. Shkurti K. 14. Lucker L. 9. Diouf O.
16. Devriendt J. (G) 62. Penin A. 14. Renson J. 55. Muanza J. 85. Dony A. 10. M'barki R. 39. Robberechts M. 6. Carrim M. 8. Peeters S. 81. Mabanza V. R. 9. Rousseau L.
Substitutes
1. Andre A. (G) 15. Arslan A. 20. Gobitaka F. 10. Hazard K. 11. Lefebvre A. 13. Mouchamps D. 18. Paulet S. 23. Reynaerts S.
4. Borry K. 1. Gelade G. (G) 17. Lefrancq I. 5. Olivier B. 31. Orye N. 13. Prychynenko D. 11. Rais A.
Coaches
Englebert G.
Stijnen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, M'barki R. ⚽, Peeters S. (A),
44', Carrim M. 🟨,
44', Robberechts M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Da Silva F. ↓, Hazard K. ↑,
63', Carrim M. ↓, Prychynenko D. ↑,
63', Rousseau L. ↓, Borry K. ↑,
66', Lucker L. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
67', Prychynenko D. 🟨,
72', M'barki R. ↓, Rais A. ↑,
76', Ngawa P. ↓, Gobitaka F. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Robberechts M. ⚽, Peeters S. (A),
84', Bruggeman B. ↓, Lefebvre A. ↑,
84', Shkurti K. ↓, Paulet S. ↑,
89', Gobitaka F. 🟨,
89', Lefebvre A. 🟨,
89', M'barki R. 🟨,
90', Mabanza V. R. ↓, Orye N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Eisden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Eisden has had a series of home games.
Eisden could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.34%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.